This is the risk reward Colin was talking about. If we check the flop then there is 8BB in the pot the V can lead steal on the turn as we have to fold to blanks as well as broadways if we are only raising a steal range. If we bet half pot as a bluff on flop there is 12bb in the pot for the V to try to win and a min check raise should win it from us very often. The reason is the BB now has all the small sets -all the pairs they did not 3 bet- Broadway cards with backdoor flush draws and they should be attacking us when we bet flop on those boards after we 3.5x BU with a steal range only. The low dry board is terrible for our 3.5x steals if we have been raising 2.5x with premium.
